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Soziale Grundlagen der Informatik Members Publications

Performative Prediction: Past and Future

Herb Simon studied performativity in the 1960s and provided an elegant argument for why there exist stable points where the prediction is accurate for the outcome it causes.

Performative prediction has matured into a research field. Our survey traces the rich intellectual history of performativity and puts it in conversation with recent development [File Icon].

Members

Soziale Grundlagen der Informatik
Moritz Hardt
Managing Director
Algorithms and Society
Celestine Mendler-Dünner
PI

Publications

Social Foundations of Computation Algorithms and Society Article Performative Prediction: Past and Future Hardt, M., Mendler-Dünner, C. Statistical Science, Institute of Mathematical Statistics, August 2025 (Published) arXiv URL BibTeX